Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.246380 0.290237 0.336913 0.390013 0.448473 0.510611 0.581389
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.189295 0.248915 0.316800 0.398715 0.493800 0.599676 0.725450
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.142291 0.209375 0.291017 0.395079 0.521645 0.668209 0.848358
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.103325 0.171783 0.261103 0.381267 0.533968 0.717162 0.949139
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.082350 0.153260 0.251690 0.390265 0.572697 0.797673 1.089054
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.061248 0.129888 0.231959 0.382715 0.588424 0.849074 1.194047
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.051590 0.121838 0.232164 0.401115 0.637751 0.943412 1.354102
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.039965 0.107654 0.221003 0.401779 0.662273 1.005705 1.474476
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.030972 0.095746 0.211415 0.403183 0.686868 1.067854 1.595222
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025291 0.088737 0.208629 0.413991 0.724385 1.147473 1.739651
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.021181 0.083883 0.208684 0.428705 0.767472 1.235086 1.895701
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017683 0.079350 0.208568 0.442734 0.809575 1.321848 2.051720
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012687 0.069148 0.196789 0.437270 0.823097 1.370420 2.159150
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009697 0.063166 0.192210 0.443232 0.853732 1.443303 2.300463
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006584 0.054801 0.181337 0.437276 0.865423 1.489304 2.405680
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003847 0.045155 0.165727 0.421275 0.860182 1.510375 2.476460
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002798 0.041876 0.163959 0.430157 0.894527 1.589063 2.627896
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001559 0.035544 0.153491 0.421654 0.900038 1.625318 2.720275
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001239 0.034904 0.157407 0.441011 0.951753 1.730507 2.910741
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000702 0.031075 0.152039 0.441553 0.971946 1.788928 3.035636
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000364 0.027769 0.147355 0.442950 0.993347 1.849251 3.163715
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000215 0.026250 0.147607 0.454400 1.032027 1.936091 3.330493
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000133 0.025431 0.149845 0.470022 1.078113 2.034636 3.514860